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michael is the cutest major storm in a long time because he didn't poo on people
THURSDAY INTO SUNDAY...A GREAT DEAL OF UNCERTAINTY REMAINS REGARDING THE MOISTURE AND ANY IMPACTS FROM WHAT WILL BE LEFT OVER FROM TROPICAL STORM MIRIAM. THE STALLED UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER COLORADO FINALLY MOVES EAST THURSDAY AND BEGINS TO DRAW MOISTURE FROM MIRIAM OFF TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST ACROSS NORTHERN MEXICO. OF NOTE...THE MOST CURRENT RUN OF THE GFS HAS RETREATED FROM ITS PREVIOUS FORECAST OF BRINGING COPIOUS AMOUNTS OF MOISTURE NORTHWARD INTO AZ AND NOW SUGGESTS THAT THE BULK OF THE MOISTURE WILL HEAD INTO PORTIONS OF SE NM AND WEST TEXAS...WHILE THE ECMWF HAS NOW SHIFTED THE RESIDUAL MOISTURE PLUME FURTHER TO THE NORTHWEST AND CLIPS OUR EASTERN CWA WITH A CONVECTIVE RESPONSE BY THE END OF THE WEEK. EVEN THOUGH WE ARE ONLY 3-4 DAYS OUT...GIVEN THE TREMENDOUS UNCERTAINTY IN TIME AND SPACE WE WILL CONTINUE TO HOLD ON TO SLIGHT CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS MOST OF OUR CWA FOR THE FRIDAY AND SATURDAY TIME FRAME.