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Author Topic: H7N9 (2013 Bird Flu)  (Read 2895 times)

Yqt1001

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H7N9 (2013 Bird Flu)
« on: April 15, 2013, 08:51:46 PM »
Just because I want to say I am the first one to notice this if it ever gets that serious (especially since the media will start to overhype it soon probably).

I'll also update this every now and then :P

Progression:
March 31 2013: First case confirmed (Jiangsu province, China).
April 2 2013: First death confirmed.
April 3 2013: 3 confirmed deaths.
April 4 2013: 14 confirmed cases, 4 deaths (28%).
April 6 2013: First measures taken against it, live poultry markets closed in Shanghai.
April 9 2013: 24 confirmed cases, 7 deaths (29%).
April 11 2013: First confirmed case in Beijing. 39 confirmed cases, 10 deaths (25%).
April 14 2013: 61 confirmed cases, 13 deaths (21%).
April 15 2013: First case of possible human-human transmission.
April 18 2013: 83 confirmed cases, 17 deaths (21%).
April 19 2013: More evidence towards human-human transmission.

Current Status:
> Still only confirmed to spread from birds.
> Takes about 5 days to show signs of symptoms, however within a day of showing a symptom, the victim progresses to severe pneumonia.
> Spreading much more rapidly than the regular bird flu (H5N1), with more cases in the last 2 weeks than H5N1 gets on average per year.
> Vaccination planned for July 2013.

I am exaggerating things at the moment, but it isn't everyday you see a very fatal flu spread so quickly. Especially for it to not leave behind a trail of dead animals. Swine flu had a 0.03% fatality rate, while Spanish flu had a ~2.5% rate. Nothing to be worried with yet, though I have my eyes on this obviously. :P It was noted to me that the Chinese media could be hiding most of it as well, like what happened with SARS (wasn't even known in the media many months in).

Still not worth worrying about more than the annual flu, but something to watch. If this ever spread from humans (which is still a possibility) and a vaccine couldn't be developed in time....
« Last Edit: April 19, 2013, 05:20:17 PM by Yqt1001 »

Darvince

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Re: H7N9 (2013 Bird Flu)
« Reply #1 on: April 15, 2013, 08:54:10 PM »
omgyqtomg

SHUT. DOWN. EVERYTHING.

Hellpotatoe

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Re: H7N9 (2013 Bird Flu)
« Reply #2 on: April 16, 2013, 03:11:32 AM »

deoxy99

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Re: H7N9 (2013 Bird Flu)
« Reply #3 on: April 16, 2013, 03:26:12 AM »
We freaked out about the swine flu, but it turned out to be perfectly fine.

Shouldn't we be worried about more pressing diseases, like cancer and AIDS?

matty406

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Re: H7N9 (2013 Bird Flu)
« Reply #4 on: April 16, 2013, 03:56:00 AM »
We should move to Madagascar

smjjames

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Re: H7N9 (2013 Bird Flu)
« Reply #5 on: April 16, 2013, 06:12:02 AM »
Wait a minute, trail of dead animals... There were those thousands of pigs and then ducks in the shanghai river.....

Might have been completely unrelated though, who knows.
« Last Edit: April 16, 2013, 06:30:59 AM by smjjames »

FiahOwl

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Re: H7N9 (2013 Bird Flu)
« Reply #6 on: April 16, 2013, 06:48:06 AM »
We should move to Madagascar

Too late, they already closed their port!

Yqt1001

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Re: H7N9 (2013 Bird Flu)
« Reply #7 on: April 16, 2013, 07:54:40 AM »
We freaked out about the swine flu, but it turned out to be perfectly fine.

Swine flu ended up being the first pandemic in 40 years. That isn't perfectly fine. :P

tuto99

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Re: H7N9 (2013 Bird Flu)
« Reply #8 on: April 16, 2013, 12:24:17 PM »
We should move to Madagascar

Too late, they already closed their port!
Nice one Fiah.

blotz

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Re: H7N9 (2013 Bird Flu)
« Reply #9 on: April 16, 2013, 01:28:01 PM »
it's liek plage

Yqt1001

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Re: H7N9 (2013 Bird Flu)
« Reply #10 on: April 19, 2013, 05:19:41 PM »
Chinese health minister says that it might have started to transmit human-human. WHO says it is possible, but not easily. 83 confirmed cases, 17 dead.

blotz

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Re: H7N9 (2013 Bird Flu)
« Reply #11 on: April 19, 2013, 05:20:23 PM »
how's the cure going