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General Category => Everything Else => Topic started by: Yqt1001 on April 15, 2013, 08:51:46 PM

Title: H7N9 (2013 Bird Flu)
Post by: Yqt1001 on April 15, 2013, 08:51:46 PM
Just because I want to say I am the first one to notice this if it ever gets that serious (especially since the media will start to overhype it soon probably).

I'll also update this every now and then :P

Progression:
March 31 2013: First case confirmed (Jiangsu province, China).
April 2 2013: First death confirmed.
April 3 2013: 3 confirmed deaths.
April 4 2013: 14 confirmed cases, 4 deaths (28%).
April 6 2013: First measures taken against it, live poultry markets closed in Shanghai.
April 9 2013: 24 confirmed cases, 7 deaths (29%).
April 11 2013: First confirmed case in Beijing. 39 confirmed cases, 10 deaths (25%).
April 14 2013: 61 confirmed cases, 13 deaths (21%).
April 15 2013: First case of possible human-human transmission.
April 18 2013: 83 confirmed cases, 17 deaths (21%).
April 19 2013: More evidence towards human-human transmission.

Current Status:
> Still only confirmed to spread from birds.
> Takes about 5 days to show signs of symptoms, however within a day of showing a symptom, the victim progresses to severe pneumonia.
> Spreading much more rapidly than the regular bird flu (H5N1), with more cases in the last 2 weeks than H5N1 gets on average per year.
> Vaccination planned for July 2013.

I am exaggerating things at the moment, but it isn't everyday you see a very fatal flu spread so quickly. Especially for it to not leave behind a trail of dead animals. Swine flu had a 0.03% fatality rate, while Spanish flu had a ~2.5% rate. Nothing to be worried with yet, though I have my eyes on this obviously. :P It was noted to me that the Chinese media could be hiding most of it as well, like what happened with SARS (wasn't even known in the media many months in).

Still not worth worrying about more than the annual flu, but something to watch. If this ever spread from humans (which is still a possibility) and a vaccine couldn't be developed in time....
Title: Re: H7N9 (2013 Bird Flu)
Post by: Darvince on April 15, 2013, 08:54:10 PM
omgyqtomg

SHUT. DOWN. EVERYTHING.
Title: Re: H7N9 (2013 Bird Flu)
Post by: Hellpotatoe on April 16, 2013, 03:11:32 AM
omgyqtomg

SHUT. DOWN. EVERYTHING.
Title: Re: H7N9 (2013 Bird Flu)
Post by: deoxy99 on April 16, 2013, 03:26:12 AM
We freaked out about the swine flu, but it turned out to be perfectly fine.

Shouldn't we be worried about more pressing diseases, like cancer and AIDS?
Title: Re: H7N9 (2013 Bird Flu)
Post by: matty406 on April 16, 2013, 03:56:00 AM
We should move to Madagascar
Title: Re: H7N9 (2013 Bird Flu)
Post by: smjjames on April 16, 2013, 06:12:02 AM
Wait a minute, trail of dead animals... There were those thousands of pigs and then ducks in the shanghai river.....

Might have been completely unrelated though, who knows.
Title: Re: H7N9 (2013 Bird Flu)
Post by: FiahOwl on April 16, 2013, 06:48:06 AM
We should move to Madagascar

Too late, they already closed their port!
Title: Re: H7N9 (2013 Bird Flu)
Post by: Yqt1001 on April 16, 2013, 07:54:40 AM
We freaked out about the swine flu, but it turned out to be perfectly fine.

Swine flu ended up being the first pandemic in 40 years. That isn't perfectly fine. :P
Title: Re: H7N9 (2013 Bird Flu)
Post by: tuto99 on April 16, 2013, 12:24:17 PM
We should move to Madagascar

Too late, they already closed their port!
Nice one Fiah.
Title: Re: H7N9 (2013 Bird Flu)
Post by: blotz on April 16, 2013, 01:28:01 PM
it's liek plage
Title: Re: H7N9 (2013 Bird Flu)
Post by: Yqt1001 on April 19, 2013, 05:19:41 PM
Chinese health minister says that it might have started to transmit human-human. WHO says it is possible, but not easily. 83 confirmed cases, 17 dead.
Title: Re: H7N9 (2013 Bird Flu)
Post by: blotz on April 19, 2013, 05:20:23 PM
how's the cure going